SPORTS DAY: Huh? Boks given only a 13% chance of winning

Sport

SPORTS DAY: Huh? Boks given only a 13% chance of winning

Your roundup of the sporting news of the day

Journalist

RUGBY

Prediction model makes Boks third favourites

While many pundits expect this year’s Rugby World Cup will be the most open one yet, one economist has calculated that the All Blacks actually have a better chance of winning it than they had in 2015. Wellington-based economist Nevin Winchester has given the 2019 All Blacks a 53.6% chance of securing a third successive title in Japan on November 2 compared to the 47.1% chance his model gave the 2015 vintage. While the model ranks England as second favourites, with a 15.5% chance of winning a second title, the nature of the draw has resulted in the prediction that New Zealand will face SA in the final. The Springboks, who are in the same opening round pool as the All Blacks, are ranked third favourites with a 12.9% chance of winning...

This article is reserved for Times Select subscribers.
A subscription gives you full digital access to all Times Select content.

Times Select

Already subscribed? Simply sign in below.

Questions or problems?
Email helpdesk@timeslive.co.za or call 0860 52 52 00.